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Sure, why not: We're now in the Cone of Probability for a possible hurricane

Henri's potential path

Possible hurricane zone from National Hurricane Center.

A tropical storm once forecast to meander harmlessly around the middle Atlantic might, maybe, just possibly, smack us upside the head next week. Or it might stay out to sea.

It's just too early to tell but, the National Hurricane Center says Henri keeps moving left on the weather maps, which now show the greater Boston area as within the Cone for a full-bore hurricane sometime Mondayish which means potentially deadly rip currents and swells along our beaches later this week:

One complicating factor is that several of the models show a ridge building over the northwestern Atlantic and Atlantic Canada, which could cause the storm to stay on a more northward track closer to New England than currently forecast. The spread in the models for Henri's future track is quite large, with some guidance as far west as Long Island and as far east as 62W longitude. Overall, the models continue to walk left each cycle, and the NHC track forecast has again been shifted in that direction.

The hurricane center will be dispatching planes and weather balloons into the area in and around Henri in the hopes of getting batter data with which to predict whether we have to start buying plywood or whether we'll just have to keep our deck umbrellas unfurled. But in the meantime:

Swells from Henri could reach much of the east coast of the U.S. and Atlantic Canada by the end of the week and continue through the weekend. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip currents.

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Comments

Just in time, I remember I had all my world possessions in my father's car, we were going to drive me off to be a freshman in college in Illinois after Hurricane Bob hit. The car was spared and we drove off to Illinois the next morning.

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The biggest hurricanes to hit here over the past few decades have all been named after members of my family. We don't have any Henri's, so it shouldn't be too bad.

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Voting closed 38

Based on TV, I think it's the family members you don't know about that fuck stuff up the most.

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It just hasn't rained enough around here, you know. Gotta fill up that rain barrel again.

(Adam, "unfurled" or "furled"?)

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Is that line real or a Sharpie enhancement? We're out of eggs so should I stock up?

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Eeet weel pour, pour le week-end.

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Is if you look at one of the recent GEFS spaghetti plots, it's pretty obvious that it's trending westward.

https://www.weathernerds.org/tc_guidance/images/AL08_2021081812_GEFS_lar...

A bunch of those paths have it coming right for MA/RI.

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Just no. Stay away.

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Relax, this can be fixed with a Sharpie.

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isnt chrystal symphony gonna' float rite into it on its way to bermuda ?

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…Sunday, so we’ll be dealing with lunar high tides.

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funny reading this long after the storm has come and gone.

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